⚡ US natural gas industry wins 2023 — Europe is now a captive LNG customer

⚖ Why this verdict

fully deterministic — evaluate.py replays this from daily closes; nothing below is editable or hand-set

1. Window: 2023-01-06 → 2024-01-06 — first mention + 12-month horizon, then the window locks.
2. The call: ▲ LONG LNG (primary play). LNG rose 18.5% over the window → direction-adjusted R = +18.5% (the call made money).
3. Benchmark: holding SPY over the same window returned +22.4% → α = +18.5 − (+22.4) = -3.9% — what this call made or lost against just owning the index. This is the number the verdict uses.
4. Rule fired:
   · HIT — R ≥ +10% AND α ≥ +5

   ▶ PARTIAL — R ≥ +5% OR α ≥ 0

   · MISS — everything else
5. Credit: supporters of a PARTIAL earn 0.5 each, opposers the inverse — this feeds the scoreboard weights. supported: Sacks

each voice's total force on the score — supports and opposes from every mention, weighted exactly as the replay applied them · share = % of all mention-driven movement

Sacks w=0.94

2 scoring events · 100% of moves

+47.1 → net +47.1

⏳ decay drained -38.3 over the idea's life — that's time passing, attributed to no one