🏛️ Immunity plus Fisher rulings collapse the January 6 prosecution

⚖ Why this result

fully deterministic — computed from daily closes on the scoring date; nothing below is editable or hand-set

1. Window: 2024-07-04 → 2025-07-04 — first mention + 12-month horizon, then the window locks.
2. The call: ▲ LONG DJT (primary play). DJT fell 35.0% over the window → return (sign flipped for a SHORT) = -35.0% (the call lost money).
3. Benchmark: holding SPY over the same window returned +14.2% → vs SPY = -35.0 − (+14.2) = -49.2% — what this call made or lost against just owning the index. This is the number the result uses.
4. Rule fired:
   · RIGHT — return ≥ +10% AND beat SPY by 5+

   · HALF — return ≥ +5% OR beat SPY at all

   ▶ WRONG — everything else
5. Credit: supporters of a WRONG earn 0 each, opposers the opposite — this feeds the scoreboard. supported: Chamath, Sacks | opposed: Jason

each voice's total push on the score, in conviction points across every mention — supports and opposes · share = % of all mention-driven movement

Sacks 48%

1 scoring event · 63% of moves

+42.0 → net +42.0

Chamath 51%

1 scoring event · 19% of moves

+12.6 → net +12.6

Jason 49%

1 scoring event · 18% of moves

+0.0 / -12.0 → net -12.0

⏳ decay drained -36.3 over the idea's life — that's time passing, attributed to no one