📈 Palantir's government/intelligence franchise is a good investment

⚖ Why this result

fully deterministic — computed from daily closes on the scoring date; nothing below is editable or hand-set

1. Window: 2024-07-26 → 2025-07-26 — first mention + 12-month horizon, then the window locks.
2. The call: ▲ LONG PLTR (primary play). PLTR rose 484.2% over the window → return (sign flipped for a SHORT) = +484.2% (the call made money).
3. Benchmark: holding SPY over the same window returned +18.5% → vs SPY = +484.2 − (+18.5) = +465.8% — what this call made or lost against just owning the index. This is the number the result uses.
4. Rule fired:
   ▶ RIGHT — return ≥ +10% AND beat SPY by 5+ ✓ (return 484.2, vs SPY 465.8)

   · HALF — return ≥ +5% OR beat SPY at all

   · WRONG — everything else
5. Credit: supporters of a RIGHT earn 1.0 each, opposers the opposite — this feeds the scoreboard. supported: Chamath, Cyan Banister, Sacks

each voice's total push on the score, in conviction points across every mention — supports and opposes · share = % of all mention-driven movement

Sacks 44%

2 scoring events · 54% of moves

+36.3 → net +36.3

Cyan Banister 50% regular guest ×1.0

1 scoring event · 28% of moves

+18.6 → net +18.6

Chamath 42%

1 scoring event · 19% of moves

+12.5 → net +12.5

⏳ decay drained -47.9 over the idea's life — that's time passing, attributed to no one