📈 Movie theaters do not go out of business

⚖ Why this result

fully deterministic — computed from daily closes on the scoring date; nothing below is editable or hand-set

1. Window: 2021-03-27 → 2022-03-27 — first mention + 12-month horizon, then the window locks.
2. The call: ▲ LONG AMC (primary play). AMC rose 95.6% over the window → return (sign flipped for a SHORT) = +95.6% (the call made money).
3. Benchmark: holding SPY over the same window returned +15.9% → vs SPY = +95.6 − (+15.9) = +79.7% — what this call made or lost against just owning the index. This is the number the result uses.
4. Rule fired:
   ▶ RIGHT — return ≥ +10% AND beat SPY by 5+ ✓ (return 95.6, vs SPY 79.7)

   · HALF — return ≥ +5% OR beat SPY at all

   · WRONG — everything else
5. Credit: supporters of a RIGHT earn 1.0 each, opposers the opposite — this feeds the scoreboard. supported: Friedberg, Jason | proxy-sensitive: CNK→MISS (-15.0%); IMAX→MISS (-2.0%)

each voice's total push on the score, in conviction points across every mention — supports and opposes · share = % of all mention-driven movement

Friedberg 43%

1 scoring event · 58% of moves

+20.0 → net +20.0

Jason 49%

1 scoring event · 42% of moves

+14.4 → net +14.4

⏳ decay drained -28.7 over the idea's life — that's time passing, attributed to no one