📈 Fat-cell epigenetic memory makes obesity therapy chronic

⚖ Why this verdict

fully deterministic — evaluate.py replays this from daily closes; nothing below is editable or hand-set

1. Window: 2024-11-23 → 2025-11-23 — first mention + 12-month horizon, then the window locks.
2. The call: ▲ LONG LLY (primary play). LLY rose 41.4% over the window → direction-adjusted R = +41.4% (the call made money).
3. Benchmark: holding SPY over the same window returned +11.6% → α = +41.4 − (+11.6) = +29.8% — what this call made or lost against just owning the index. This is the number the verdict uses.
4. Rule fired:
   ▶ HIT — R ≥ +10% AND α ≥ +5 ✓ (R 41.4, α 29.8)

   · PARTIAL — R ≥ +5% OR α ≥ 0

   · MISS — everything else
5. Credit: supporters of a HIT earn 1.0 each, opposers the inverse — this feeds the scoreboard weights. supported: Friedberg | proxy-sensitive: NVO→MISS (-53.2%)

each voice's total force on the score — supports and opposes from every mention, weighted exactly as the replay applied them · share = % of all mention-driven movement

Friedberg w=0.87

1 scoring event · 100% of moves

+30.3 → net +30.3

⏳ decay drained -25.7 over the idea's life — that's time passing, attributed to no one