🌍 More market volatility, not less

⚖ Why this result

fully deterministic — computed from daily closes on the scoring date; nothing below is editable or hand-set

1. Window: 2021-02-13 → 2022-02-13 — first mention + 12-month horizon, then the window locks.
2. The call: ▲ LONG VIXY (primary play). VIXY fell 63.3% over the window → return (sign flipped for a SHORT) = -63.3% (the call lost money).
3. Benchmark: holding SPY over the same window returned +13.8% → vs SPY = -63.3 − (+13.8) = -77.1% — what this call made or lost against just owning the index. This is the number the result uses.
4. Rule fired:
   · RIGHT — return ≥ +10% AND beat SPY by 5+

   · HALF — return ≥ +5% OR beat SPY at all

   ▶ WRONG — everything else
5. Credit: supporters of a WRONG earn 0 each, opposers the opposite — this feeds the scoreboard. supported: Chamath

each voice's total push on the score, in conviction points across every mention — supports and opposes · share = % of all mention-driven movement

Chamath 53%

2 scoring events · 100% of moves

+45.8 → net +45.8

⏳ decay drained -33.4 over the idea's life — that's time passing, attributed to no one