📈 Nikola goes to zero
Nikola — a pre-product SPAC that peaked at $34B and sits at ~$6B with its founder under investigation — is a fraud/disaster riding Elon's coattails and 'will go to zero.' Jason's rule: pre-revenue company worth over $1B with no shipped product = fraud risk.
0
CONVICTION
peaked 40.8 EMBER
EMBER
band
▼ SHORT NKLA
expression · bearish equities
—
entry flag
⏰ 1727d overdue
eval pending · was due 2021-12-18 (unresolved — e.g. no price data)
Conviction timeline
bands: green ≥ 65 · watch ≥ 45 · ember ≥ 15
Plays vs SPY · % since first mention (2020-12-18)
Plays
| expression | symbol | kind | relevance | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ SHORT | NKLA | stock | PRIMARY | the named short — pre-product EV SPAC under SEC investigation |
Mention log
Jason
equities w=0.97 · n=105
· E15 (2020-12-18) · explicit_prediction · strength 3
▶ 38:15
SUPPORT
“Nikola trading at $34 billion... It's now worth $6 billion. I predict it will be worth $0.60. I kid you not, this company will go to zero, is my prediction... if a company has not released their product, and it's worth over a billion dollars, be careful because it could be a fraud or it could be a disaster.”
Who built this conviction
each voice's total force on the score — supports and opposes from every mention, weighted exactly as the replay applied them · share = % of all mention-driven movement
⏳ decay drained -42.0 over the idea's life — that's time passing, attributed to no one
Score events
| episode | kind | Δ | after | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E15 2020-12-18 | init | +40.8 | 40.8 | E15 born by Jason (explicit_prediction x3) [w=0.97] |
| E16 2021-01-08 | decay | -1.6 | 39.2 | E16 silent |
| E17 2021-01-11 | decay | -1.6 | 37.6 | E17 silent |
| E18 2021-01-23 | decay | -1.5 | 36.1 | E18 silent |
| E19 2021-01-30 | decay | -1.4 | 34.7 | E19 silent |
| E20 2021-02-03 | decay | -1.4 | 33.3 | E20 silent |
| E21 2021-02-06 | decay | -1.3 | 31.9 | E21 silent |
| E22 2021-02-13 | decay | -1.3 | 30.7 | E22 silent |
| E23 2021-02-20 | decay | -1.2 | 29.4 | E23 silent |
| E24 2021-03-06 | decay | -1.2 | 28.3 | E24 silent |
| E25 2021-03-13 | decay | -1.1 | 27.1 | E25 silent |
| E26 2021-03-20 | decay | -1.1 | 26.0 | E26 silent |
| E27 2021-03-27 | decay | -1.0 | 25.0 | E27 silent |
| E28 2021-04-01 | decay | -1.0 | 24.0 | E28 silent |
| E29 2021-04-17 | decay | -1.0 | 23.0 | E29 silent |
| E30 2021-04-23 | decay | -0.9 | 22.1 | E30 silent |
| E31 2021-05-01 | decay | -0.9 | 21.2 | E31 silent |
| E32 2021-05-13 | decay | -0.8 | 20.4 | E32 silent |
| E33 2021-05-22 | decay | -0.8 | 19.6 | E33 silent |
| E34 2021-05-31 | decay | -0.8 | 18.8 | E34 silent |
| E35 2021-06-13 | decay | -0.8 | 18.0 | E35 silent |
| E36 2021-06-18 | decay | -0.7 | 17.3 | E36 silent |
| E37 2021-06-25 | decay | -0.7 | 16.6 | E37 silent |
| E38 2021-07-03 | decay | -0.7 | 16.0 | E38 silent |
| E39 2021-07-09 | decay | -0.6 | 15.3 | E39 silent |
| E40 2021-07-16 | decay | -0.6 | 14.7 | E40 silent |
| E41 2021-07-23 | decay | -0.6 | 14.1 | E41 silent |
| E42 2021-07-30 | decay | -0.6 | 13.6 | E42 silent |
| E43 2021-08-06 | reinforce | +17.2 | 30.8 | E43 Sacks support x2 (new voice) [w=0.89] |
| E44 2021-08-28 | decay | -1.2 | 29.5 | E44 silent |
| E45 2021-09-04 | decay | -1.2 | 28.4 | E45 silent |
| E46 2021-09-14 | decay | -1.1 | 27.2 | E46 silent |
| E47 2021-09-18 | decay | -1.1 | 26.1 | E47 silent |
| E49 2021-10-02 | decay | -1.0 | 25.1 | E49 silent |
| E50 2021-10-09 | decay | -1.0 | 24.1 | E50 silent |
| E51 2021-10-16 | decay | -1.0 | 23.1 | E51 silent |
| E52 2021-10-23 | decay | -0.9 | 22.2 | E52 silent |
| E53 2021-10-30 | decay | -0.9 | 21.3 | E53 silent |
| E54 2021-11-06 | decay | -0.9 | 20.5 | E54 silent |
| E55 2021-11-13 | reinforce | +9.3 | 29.7 | E55 Jason support x1 [w=0.97] |
| E56 2021-11-20 | decay | -1.2 | 28.5 | E56 silent |
| E57 2021-12-04 | decay | -1.1 | 27.4 | E57 silent |
| E58 2021-12-11 | decay | -1.1 | 26.3 | E58 silent |
| E59 2021-12-17 | decay | -1.1 | 25.3 | E59 silent |