XLK

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

etf all instruments
+0.0
net board stance what this means
187.98
+0.4% · close 2026-09-08
+0% / +4% / +43%
1m / 3m / 12m
+98%
vs SPY since 2022-10-07
86%
of 52w range · -5.0% off high
hit rate as primary

Where we stand — 0 live ideas

No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.

Where the winds are blowing

NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 45 EPISODES — rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the talk lead the tape or follow it?

Who's pushing which way

each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means

Friedberg
Friedberg w=1.08 tech
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E126
+3
pushes up
Brad Gerstner
Brad Gerstner w=1.41 tech guest ×1.0
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E136
+2
pushes up
Sacks
Sacks w=0.77 tech
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E130
+2
pushes up
Jason
Jason w=1.05 tech
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E132
+2
pushes up
Chamath
Chamath w=0.90 tech
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E137
-2
pushes down

Track record on XLK

No closed window has used this ticker as its primary play, so there is no scored record here yet. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.

ideacallplayverdictRαclosed
🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead ▲ LONG adjacent HIT +136.4% +116.1 2023-10-07

The tape — what was actually said

every capture on any idea holding XLK, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode

Chamath Chamath oppose ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E137 · 2023-07-14 ▶ 9:33
But triage does not work in a bull market. You don't get rewarded for triage in a bull market.
Brad Gerstner Brad Gerstner support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E136 · 2023-07-09 ▶ 6:23
And it just gets back to this culture of flattening the organization, speeding up the organization.
Brad Gerstner Brad Gerstner support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E134 · 2023-06-24 ▶ 14:14
And let's just say we can all agree out of all the companies, right? There's only one contender to Zuck getting fit, right? Getting that company fit, getting himself fit is Elon. 75, 80% of the people gone in product velocity is on fire at Twitter.
Jason Jason support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E132 · 2023-06-10 ▶ 1:23:01
My base thesis right now is that the job freezes, the hiring freezes at all these companies is indefinite.
Sacks Sacks support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E130 · 2023-05-26 ▶ 1:32:52
And, you know, after seeing what Elon did at Twitter, where he reduced the staff by 80%, I'm like, I realize there's no good excuse anymore for not giving yourself the maximum chance of survival.
Jason Jason support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E129 · 2023-05-19 ▶ 37:56
This is the truth here, I think, that representatives have. 30% more efficiency means Google, Facebook and many other companies, finance, education. They do not add staff every year. They just get 30% more efficient every year.
Jason Jason support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E126 · 2023-04-28 ▶ 14:31
People are just saying, you know what? We're going to cut our way to and do stock buybacks. And that's another way of financial engineering to route around the Fed, right?
Sacks Sacks support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E126 · 2023-04-28 ▶ 15:08
They've got a large cushion in terms of their ability to continue generating earnings because of all the bloat that actually gives them like a margin of error where they can just keep cutting to prop up earnings.
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E126 · 2023-04-28 ▶ 6:33
Like it doesn't take a CEO change for a board of directors to have the emotional wherewithal to authorize a 15 or 20% reduction in force for a company that is so profitable, that clearly is not yet humming on all cylinders.
Friedberg Friedberg support ×3 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E126 · 2023-04-28 ▶ 3:23
in contrast to Metta being up 11, 12 percent after hours with their cost cutting model and demonstrating that they're going to start pulling cash out of this business.
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E118 · 2023-03-03 ▶ 59:38
And it's probably, you know, sort of 50 percent headcount reduction. That's probably the the bound in which things break.
Sacks Sacks support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E118 · 2023-03-03 ▶ 57:00
And the thing that I took away from it was just how much agency, you know, CEOs have that they're not using.
Brad Gerstner Brad Gerstner support ×3 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E118 · 2023-03-03 ▶ 54:43
And I think it's a really important change because I think it breathes new productivity into all these businesses.
Chamath Chamath support ×3 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E114 · 2023-02-04 ▶ 33:30
And so, Facebook now, you can credibly see a path where Facebook could chunk out hundreds of billions of dollars of total shareholder value returned over the next four or five years. And so, for value investors, it's somewhat of a kind of a no-brainer. I mean, nothing's a no-brainer, but really, really attractive value fundamentals right now.
Jason Jason support ×3 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E114 · 2023-02-04 ▶ 27:11
And they're up to, I actually bought it based, the day they had the layoffs, I put in a buy order and it was closed at $94 and now it's at 193
Sacks Sacks support ×3 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E114 · 2023-02-04 ▶ 26:30
And they basically started doing some rifts and basically just getting much more efficient in what they're doing and specifically taking out layers and layers of middle management. I mean, that was really the big thing. So they kind of took a page out of Elon's book in terms of what Elon had done at Twitter.
Sacks Sacks support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E109 · 2022-12-24 ▶ 1:43:02
I think that every CEO who responded to the regime change by cutting costs, getting leaner, extending runway, I think deserves to be on this list.
Jason Jason support ×3 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E109 · 2022-12-24 ▶ 1:55:37
I bought it at 94, it's at 117, it's one of my best J-Trades.
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E108 · 2022-12-16 ▶ 51:38
And two, all these rifts basically show what the efficient frontier is for the number of employees you need to run a company. And if you can cut 50% of the headcount, private equity folks will do that.
Friedberg Friedberg support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E108 · 2022-12-16 ▶ 47:47
I had said that there could probably be a significant headcount reduction of like 75% at Google, and the business could keep operating.
Sacks Sacks support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E105 · 2022-11-19 ▶ 1:13:58
I think Friedberg's right that these companies could operate a lot more efficiently.
Friedberg Friedberg support ×3 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E105 · 2022-11-19 ▶ 1:07:39
And if they did just that, if they added that one disciplinary capability, then I think this, as you said, the market cap would go up by $600 billion.
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E105 · 2022-11-19 ▶ 1:05:30
I mean, if you sensitized it to what you said, David, if it was just 75 or a half that number, then the stock goes up 35% overnight, and if it goes up to the full number, the stock goes up 65% overnight.
Jason Jason support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E103 · 2022-11-05 ▶ 53:38
When you're throwing off almost a billion dollars in free cash flow, people are going to perceive that business maybe as of this cohort, the flight to safety, right?
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▲ on 🤖 Twitter's riff proves big tech is overstaffed - lean-opex reset ahead E103 · 2022-11-05 ▶ 50:08
Meaning, if Google did it, I think that people really trust Sundar and Ruth, and I think the stock would go bonkers. They would probably move very quickly into the echelon of Apple, and Apple is sort of a first among equals.