+0.0
net board stance
what this means
53.29
-4.1% · close 2026-09-08
-5% / +5% / -8%
1m / 3m / 12m
-43%
vs SPY since 2025-03-08
67%
of 52w range · -15.2% off high
0/2
hit rate as primary · α -85
Where we stand — 0 live ideas
No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 60 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from
score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
Track record on SLG
As a PRIMARY play the besties are 0 hit / 1 partial / 1 miss over 2 closed windows — credit 0.25, average α -84.6. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | verdict | R | α | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 📈 Return-to-office wins - remote work retreats outside an elite minority | ▲ LONG | adjacent | MISS | -1.3% | -18.8 | 2025-08-16 |
| 📈 Mamdani's New York drives capital flight and a property crash | ▼ SHORT | primary | PARTIAL | +12.2% | -7.1 | 2026-06-28 |
| 📈 WeWork's Chapter 11 resets its leases at 60 cents - landlords eat it, the distressed buyer wins | ▼ SHORT | primary | MISS | -128.9% | -162.1 | 2024-11-03 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding SLG, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
BE
Ben Shapiro
support ×3
▼ on
📈 Mamdani's New York drives capital flight and a property crash
E238 · 2025-08-09
▶ 1:02:39
It'll take a year, two years for those policies to actually hit and destroy all of New York.
KE
Keith Rabois
support ×2
▼ on
📈 Mamdani's New York drives capital flight and a property crash
E235 · 2025-07-11
▶ 2:14
It's safe. Yeah. It's safe right now. We'll see on November 4th. You know, as you probably heard, on July 4th was the first time in recorded history that there were no shootings or no murders in New York on that day. So right now, things are in pretty good shape, but we may be leaving New York quickly.
But I would be short New York real estate. I think it's going to crash and burn, and then we'll pick up the pieces and we'll reset.
two thirds of the tax base in New York is paid for by the top 10 percent who are leaving. People will leave. They will see that Austin and Miami are fantastic cities to live in at half the price, a third of the price, and you get a tax break.
PA
Patrick Collison
oppose ×2
▲ on
📈 Return-to-office wins - remote work retreats outside an elite minority
E216 · 2025-02-21
▶ 32:23
NVIDIA, last I checked, is doing pretty damn well, and Jensen is on the record as saying he doesn't give a shit about where you work... And so I guess I'm just skeptical of flat shoulds in this space.
JO
John Collison
support ×2
▲ on
📈 Return-to-office wins - remote work retreats outside an elite minority
E216 · 2025-02-21
▶ 22:01
People just said a lot of s**t during the pandemic. Do you remember, it's like, oh, handshakes are going to be over, business travel is going to be over, every company is going to be fully remote... I would say Stripe broadly is in a pretty similar spot where it was beforehand, which is most people go into an office.
So I think it's important to get the kind of mentoring you get by being in an office. And in the absence of that, I think these young people, like Jamie said, are totally lost.
leaders can lead from the front, speak directly and say, this is the way things are going to be. My job is not to coddle my employees.
It's much more productive because I think innovation happens as a team. You need collaboration and it's way easier to do that when everyone is together in the same place.
And it turns out the best of our companies, like when I rank my portfolio, the ones that are doing the best are in total different industries. But the single consistent theme is we are all back together in person.
So now that you have this era of being fit and you don't need as many people from AI, I think everybody's coming back to the office unless you are part of the 20% of truly elite workers.
the business is just drowning in these lease obligations and to restructure 777 lease obligations in this environment that we're talking about while doing what Chamath is saying, lowering rents to attract employers to show up and actually rent space from them is obviously causing the business model to distort even worse than it has been historically.
Oh my God, you just convinced me. Let's go buy it.
There's no question that WeWork has been a capital destruction machine. That being said, I actually think that some private equity player is going to buy this out of bankruptcy and make a fortune.