+0.0
net board stance
what this means
213.07
+0.4% · close 2026-09-08
-9% / -1% / -8%
1m / 3m / 12m
-9%
vs SPY since 2025-01-31
46%
of 52w range · -15.5% off high
0/2
hit rate as primary · α -27
Where we stand — 0 live ideas
No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 60 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from
score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
Track record on BA
As a PRIMARY play the besties are 0 hit / 1 partial / 1 miss over 2 closed windows — credit 0.25, average α -27.2. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | verdict | R | α | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 📈 Boeing is rotting because a duopoly has no accountability | ▼ SHORT | primary | PARTIAL | +20.4% | -5.0 | 2025-01-19 |
| 📈 Legacy defense primes (Boeing, Lockheed, RTX) lose 2025 | ▼ SHORT | primary | MISS | -33.4% | -49.5 | 2026-01-04 |
| 🏛️ Gulf capital realigns to a US bloc, displacing China's Belt and Road | ▲ LONG | adjacent | HIT | +66.2% | +40.6 | 2026-05-17 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding BA, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
One of them was to promote AI exports because we want the American Tech Stack to become the global standard.
Cooperating like this, I think, just makes a ton of sense.
If you look at that region, like you said, it could tip one way or the other. They could be involved with the West. We could be building businesses together. And if we build businesses together, that's better than them building businesses with China.
And we can have these countries be aligned with us and in our orbit, or we could push them into the arms of the Chinese. The choice is, do we want these countries to be the piggy bank for American AI or for Chinese AI?
BE
Ben Shapiro
support ×2
▲ on
🏛️ Gulf capital realigns to a US bloc, displacing China's Belt and Road
E228 · 2025-05-17
▶ 9:24
One of them obviously is driving these places away from China and the more business ties you have with places like Saudi Arabia or Bahrain, UAE, Qatar, the further away they're going to get from China.
In one week, the sitting president of the United States announced $2 trillion of investment from those countries into the United States. What does that effectively do? I think what that effectively does is say that the Middle East is turning a page, that they are beyond these regional conflicts, that they want to thrive as a society, and that they are 100% aligned with the United States.
And so having spent far more on the Starliner program than on the Crew Dragon program, the Starliner program is gone now. It's basically done. And the Crew Dragon program has now done 16 crewed flights to space, 11 for NASA, four private commercial flights, and continues to perform.
CY
Cyan Banister
support ×2
▼ on
📈 Legacy defense primes (Boeing, Lockheed, RTX) lose 2025
E220 · 2025-03-22
▶ 1:15:18
Well, obviously, Boeing is the big loser here. You've got to, it's interesting to me how bad they just fumbled this.
JO
Joe Lonsdale
support ×3
▼ on
📈 Legacy defense primes (Boeing, Lockheed, RTX) lose 2025
E218 · 2025-03-08
▶ 34:07
We had a big contest four years ago, L3, Raytheon, Northrop. These guys, in and out of government for decades, they've gotten tens of billions of dollars to the same technology area. When we went head to head with them, we didn't just beat them by a little bit. We shot down the hardened drones nine and a half times farther away. Same size, same power, nine and a half times. Completely wiped the floor.
We've seen it in the Ukraine-Russia context that a $10,000 drone can destroy a $10 million piece of equipment and China now has drone factories that can output millions of drones each month... do we really need aircraft carriers? Do we really need tanks?
you can't be spending three or four billion dollars a boat and taking eight, nine, 10 years to build these things. This is not sustainable... What you have instead are system integrators with extremely deep connectivity that are able to contract well, not necessarily to invent well.
NA
Naval Ravikant
support ×2
▼ on
📈 Legacy defense primes (Boeing, Lockheed, RTX) lose 2025
E215 · 2025-02-15
▶ 1:18:39
If you look at it today, probably the largest defense contractor in the world is DJI. They got all the drones. ... If we have a kinetic conflict right now and we don't have good drone supply chain internally in the US, we're probably going to lose because those things are autonomous bullets. That's the future of all warfare. We're buying F-35s and the Chinese are building swarms of narrowzones.
So on Thursday, what happened with Microsoft, they had a $24 billion contract with the United States Army to deliver some whiz-bang thing. And they realized that they couldn't deliver it. And so what did they do? They went to Anderil. Now, why did they go to Anderil? Because Anderil has the technological supremacy to actually execute.
I went with the old defense and aerospace providers — Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon... defense budgets are going to shift towards a more tech-oriented and ROI-driven rationalization... this government contracting business is going to be deeply challenged this year.
It would be massively embarrassing for Boeing if these two astronauts had to be rescued by SpaceX.
In a company where safety has to be the number one priority, to have an individual that's characterized by the incoming CEO as solely focused on their compensation plan explains why there's all these fissures in this company.
Our most sophisticated industries are not showing their best in this movement. ... This is like CS 101 type stuff, guys. Door plugs. Put the plugs in the door.
I just told, you know, my person who books the flights, hey, do not put me on a 737 MAX, period, full stop.
This is a company that's rotting because there is no accountability. And the reason there's no accountability is there's no real functional competition.