SOXX

iShares Semiconductor ETF

etf all instruments
+0.0
net board stance what this means
529.87
+1.9% · close 2026-09-08
-2% / -6% / +114%
1m / 3m / 12m
+165%
vs SPY since 2021-09-14
69%
of 52w range · -19.1% off high
hit rate as primary

Where we stand — 0 live ideas

No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.

Where the winds are blowing

NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 47 EPISODES — rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the talk lead the tape or follow it?

Who's pushing which way

each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means

Jason
Jason w=1.00 politics-market
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E90
+2
pushes up
Chamath
Chamath w=1.02 politics-market
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E90
-2
pushes down
Sacks
Sacks w=0.97 politics-market
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E90
-3
pushes down

Track record on SOXX

No closed window has used this ticker as its primary play, so there is no scored record here yet. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.

ideacallplayverdictRαclosed
🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention ▼ SHORT adjacent HIT +34.1% +44.0 2022-09-14

The tape — what was actually said

every capture on any idea holding SOXX, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode

Jason Jason oppose ×2 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E90 · 2022-08-05 ▶ 42:29
I would agree with that. But explain why you think there's going to be a war, because I think a lot of people think there's way too much at stake here for there to be a war. So there is going to be some sort of negotiated settlement in the South China Sea.
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E90 · 2022-08-05 ▶ 38:32
No, but so six months from now, when all the fruits and vegetables that have been embargoed and not sent to Taiwan and then the sand that allows them to make chips continues to now flow, do you think that they'll still be positive about the trip?
Sacks Sacks support ×3 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E90 · 2022-08-05 ▶ 42:12
I think there is bipartisan support now to defend Taiwan. I actually think that is in the cards. I think there's a very high probability that we actually end up in a war with China.
Sacks Sacks support ×2 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E88 · 2022-07-22 ▶ 8:23
If chips are the new oil, Taiwan is the new Middle East or the new Persian Gulf, and it is a very dangerous situation for us to be completely dependent on Taiwan.
Jason Jason support ×1 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E85 · 2022-06-30 ▶ 1:18:06
Okay, and you know what's also highly predictable? Is that China considers Taiwan a renegade province. ... it will be even worse with Taiwan. I mean, if we think that this is difficult. Can you imagine this kind of escalation with a capable adversary?
Jason Jason oppose ×2 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E72 · 2022-03-19 ▶ 38:25
They would never consider invading Taiwan knowing that it would put Apple in a position or other companies that are entwined in the Chinese economy.
Chamath Chamath reversal ×3 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E72 · 2022-03-19 ▶ 37:44
what do you think the China calculus on Taiwan is looking what's happening to Russia? ... It's completely off the table, completely off the table.
Sacks Sacks oppose ×2 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E71 · 2022-03-05 ▶ 1:02:36
we can all support that because we know that Xi is watching. ... if Taiwan really wants to be independent, every adult there needs to learn how to fight and they need to have weapons.
Jason Jason support ×2 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E71 · 2022-03-05 ▶ 1:01:15
we need to build an alliance to deal with the eventuality of China going into the South China Sea and taking over Taiwan.
Sacks Sacks support ×1 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E66 · 2022-02-05 ▶ 1:36:25
Taiwan is a much more complicated situation. I do think we have a vital national interest there.
Chamath Chamath support ×3 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E66 · 2022-02-05 ▶ 1:36:34
So I think there is good news where part of the strategic vital interests for Taiwan is because they have critical resources that we need, and we depend on, and specifically those are semiconductors. We have now, I think, allocated 50, $100 billion of capital, of CapEx across a bunch of companies that have committed to building domestic capability.
Chamath Chamath support ×1 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E63 · 2022-01-15 ▶ 15:30
I care about the fact that our economy could turn on a dime if China invades Taiwan. I care about that.
Jason Jason support ×2 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E55 · 2021-11-13 ▶ 52:24
I've been watching the Taiwan situation like a hawk. And I don't know if you saw this this week to go off on another tangent, but the US is testing Israelis Iron Dome and Guam as a defense against Chinese cruise missiles. Obviously, for possible deployment in Taiwan.
Chamath Chamath support ×3 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E55 · 2021-11-13 ▶ 1:06:46
his motivation will be, it seems, at least to bring China back into that spectrum of power, which is really about a consolidated country and a single nation state. And that has to include Taiwan. It can't it can't not. So to your point, David, it's almost more motivation for him to go off on some crazy adventure and try to reclaim it.
Sacks Sacks support ×2 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E55 · 2021-11-13 ▶ 1:04:31
Yeah, what is the accomplishment that's going to really put him in that league? And you'd have to say it's the annexation of Taiwan. I mean, that's the thing that he must be looking to do before, you know, his time to reunify China. That's the thing that could put him in that league. ... And it's like the Persian Gulf because the new oil are the semiconductors, the chips that are fabbed in Taiwan at TSMC. And so all the resources that we're dependent on for the new economy are all right there.
Chamath Chamath support ×3 ▼ on 🏛️ China takes Taiwan and the silicon chokepoint forces US intervention E46 · 2021-09-14 ▶ 45:42
if they decide to cut us off, you know, in ours, they will invade Taiwan. I've said this before, but I think that they will. ... And we will have no choice except to deploy troops into Taiwan because in the absence of the silicon that we need from TSMC and a couple of other manufacturers there, we have zero capability here.