🏛️ Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac get taken out of conservatorship

⚖ Why this result

fully deterministic — computed from daily closes on the scoring date; nothing below is editable or hand-set

1. Window: 2025-03-15 → 2026-03-15 — first mention + 12-month horizon, then the window locks.
2. The call: ▲ LONG FNMA (primary play). FNMA rose 4.8% over the window → return (sign flipped for a SHORT) = +4.8% (the call made money).
3. Benchmark: holding SPY over the same window returned +18.1% → vs SPY = +4.8 − (+18.1) = -13.3% — what this call made or lost against just owning the index. This is the number the result uses.
4. Rule fired:
   · RIGHT — return ≥ +10% AND beat SPY by 5+

   · HALF — return ≥ +5% OR beat SPY at all

   ▶ WRONG — everything else
5. Credit: supporters of a WRONG earn 0 each, opposers the opposite — this feeds the scoreboard. supported: Chamath | proxy-sensitive: FMCC→PARTIAL (+9.1%)

each voice's total push on the score, in conviction points across every mention — supports and opposes · share = % of all mention-driven movement

Chamath 51%

1 scoring event · 100% of moves

+35.0 → net +35.0

⏳ decay drained -29.2 over the idea's life — that's time passing, attributed to no one