LEN

Lennar Corporation

stock all instruments
+0.0
net board stance what this means
81.39
-2.6% · close 2026-09-08
-8% / -12% / -42%
1m / 3m / 12m
-108%
vs SPY since 2023-05-26
0%
of 52w range · -41.7% off high
0/1
hit rate as primary · α -112

Where we stand — 0 live ideas

No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.

Where the winds are blowing

NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 60 EPISODES — rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the talk lead the tape or follow it?

Who's pushing which way

each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means

Jason
Jason w=0.97 equities
2 ideas (0 live) · last heard E92
+4
pushes up
Sacks
Sacks w=0.89 equities
3 ideas (0 live) · last heard E199
-1
pushes down
Chamath
Chamath w=0.84 equities
3 ideas (0 live) · last heard E199
-3
pushes down
Friedberg
Friedberg w=0.87 equities
1 idea (0 live) · last heard E199
-3
pushes down

Track record on LEN

As a PRIMARY play the besties are 0 hit / 0 partial / 1 miss over 1 closed window — credit 0.0, average α -112.0. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.

ideacallplayverdictRαclosed
📈 Uninsurable coastal property gets repriced down ▼ SHORT primary MISS -69.1% -112.0 2024-10-27
🏛️ Blue-state permitting has broken housing construction — building migrates to light-regulation states ▲ LONG adjacent HIT +43.0% +35.7 2023-08-20
📈 Builders green-light supply once the inflation boogeyman dies ▲ LONG adjacent MISS -20.1% -9.4 2022-06-13

The tape — what was actually said

every capture on any idea holding LEN, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode

Sacks Sacks support ×2 ▼ on 📈 Uninsurable coastal property gets repriced down E199 · 2024-10-11 ▶ 28:26
So, it was a good thing that I sold my Miami place when I started.
Chamath Chamath support ×3 ▼ on 📈 Uninsurable coastal property gets repriced down E199 · 2024-10-11 ▶ 25:31
My personal belief is I think that the real estate markets in some of these places are meaningfully mispriced. And specifically what I mean is that they are massively overpriced.
Friedberg Friedberg support ×3 ▼ on 📈 Uninsurable coastal property gets repriced down E199 · 2024-10-11 ▶ 16:02
So you can kind of think about Florida state's re-insurance thing being effectively bankrupt. It doesn't really have the capacity to underwrite the insurance anymore. So the real question for everyone is, is the federal government going to have to step in and start to support the price of homes?
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▼ on 📈 Uninsurable coastal property gets repriced down E163 · 2024-01-26 ▶ 1:30:44
I have to take the wood shingles off because we can't get the insurance people to insure.
Friedberg Friedberg support ×2 ▼ on 📈 Uninsurable coastal property gets repriced down E163 · 2024-01-26 ▶ 1:29:55
These sorts of events, more frequent, more scary, more significant. Hotter oceans are driving these events
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▼ on 📈 Uninsurable coastal property gets repriced down E151 · 2023-10-27 ▶ 1:20:14
it's become economically untenable in a lot of places for these folks to be able to insure, insure their home
Friedberg Friedberg support ×3 ▼ on 📈 Uninsurable coastal property gets repriced down E151 · 2023-10-27 ▶ 1:19:36
there's going to be a real economic cost to bear on the order of several trillion dollars over time because someone has to underwrite that real estate ... it actually translates economically through the reinsurance and insurance markets into the real estate markets fairly quickly
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▲ on 🏛️ Blue-state permitting has broken housing construction — building migrates to light-regulation states E92 · 2022-08-20 ▶ 44:20
So I think David is right, which is that there's a contortion of laws that come together, that underlie some of these decisions that then manifest in a petition like this, and etc. They all need to get cleaned up.
Jason Jason support ×2 ▲ on 🏛️ Blue-state permitting has broken housing construction — building migrates to light-regulation states E92 · 2022-08-20 ▶ 45:04
So it's hypocrisy all the way up and down. And I think this is why people are largely moving to different places around the country, and it's a competition between states and cities.
Sacks Sacks support ×3 ▲ on 🏛️ Blue-state permitting has broken housing construction — building migrates to light-regulation states E92 · 2022-08-20 ▶ 40:04
But my point is just we've like so broken the free market for housing that we then come along and say, see, the free market's not working. We need more government mandates. Look, is this happening in Miami?
Chamath Chamath oppose ×2 ▲ on 📈 Builders green-light supply once the inflation boogeyman dies E74 · 2022-04-01 ▶ 6:03
restoration hardware sells overpriced crappy furniture into a housing market that's basically shut down because refi rates are at 5%. ... We have massive NIMBYism up and down the stack that prevents us from building the housing supply we need.
Jason Jason support ×2 ▲ on 📈 Builders green-light supply once the inflation boogeyman dies E35 · 2021-06-13 ▶ 1:01:53
I think what's happening now becomes the catalyst to break the NIMBYism. ... And, you know, you guys know I have a housing company in my portfolio. And they are getting absolutely deluge with people begging them to do affordable housing in different locations.
Sacks Sacks oppose ×2 ▲ on 📈 Builders green-light supply once the inflation boogeyman dies E35 · 2021-06-13 ▶ 1:00:37
And Chamath is right that the builders could get the capital for it. But it is too hard to get these projects approved.
Chamath Chamath support ×2 ▲ on 📈 Builders green-light supply once the inflation boogeyman dies E35 · 2021-06-13 ▶ 57:41
then the builders will be back in size and they'll green light a lot of projects. And I think you'll see housing supply kick back up really aggressively. That'll be good for us.