+0.0
net board stance
what this means
34.1
+1.7% · close 2026-09-08
+3% / +13% / +12%
1m / 3m / 12m
-76%
vs SPY since 2022-04-16
82%
of 52w range · -5.5% off high
—
hit rate as primary
Where we stand — 0 live ideas
No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 60 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from
score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
Track record on GRN
No closed window has used this ticker as its primary play, so there is no scored record here yet. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | verdict | R | α | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🛢️ Carbon permits and carbon tariffs put a real price on emissions | ▲ LONG | adjacent | HIT | +24.8% | +29.5 | 2022-07-30 |
| 🏛️ The IRA kills the carbon tax — carbon markets and DAC are dead ends | ▼ SHORT | adjacent | MISS | +1.1% | -6.3 | 2023-08-20 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding GRN, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
So that's the set of issues that have been pushed back against the carbon tax. And it's why it's been impossible to get implemented and to really get into market.
instead of doing this carbon tax, which seems incredibly elegant, but we all know it's impossible to get consensus across hundreds of governments and locales to negotiate this, it will never happen, at least not effectively and in real time.
And in that lens, I think like a whole bunch of business models got turned upside down. So I think carbon markets and carbon trading are not going to be the thing that we thought it was going to be. I think stuff like direct air capture, again, are going to be toy projects off to the side.
By the way, I think that is what is going to happen around the world, is that that sort of cap and trade or taxation system is going to get slowly rolled out for a lot of these externality costs in production and industry and agriculture particularly, because there are technological alternatives, and it will incentivize the switch to those alternatives, because the alternatives will cost less than the taxes.
So what you could do is gradually introduce some sort of permit system, you know, or a tradeable permit system, right, where that would incentivize the creation of these technologies that you're talking about. You want to do it gradually so you don't destroy the livelihoods of these farmers who've been doing it for generations. So that would probably be the approach you'd want to take.
So the point is that there are these structural lies that have been baked into the system that they are supported by very shoddy accounting or rules or science.
These carbon markets are absolute BS. Carbon sequestration mechanisms are absolute BS. I mean, none of this stuff is real right now. ... It's all grifters. It's all BS.
I've spent a lot of time in climate. I know what's measurable and what's not. ... there is no credible way to execute on, David, what you're saying you want. All it's going to do is going to create a bunch of money that flows to consultants that create BS nonsensical reports. ... They're complete fraudulent markets.
we're now seriously considering carbon tariffs. ... I think this is the most disruptive thing in the capital markets and geopolitics that can happen in the next 10 or 20 years is an effective carbon tariff, which is to say that when a good or service enters the borders of a country, they will levy some tax that they think represents its drag on the environment. ... Yeah, that's happening. I think that's coming. So I think that, you know, the combination of tariffs and these transfer payments is going to create a real economic incentive for folks to make these kinds of big technological leaps. So I'm pretty bullish on all of that.
And one of the interesting things that's happening now, I think we should talk about is in Europe, they're creating this new carbon trading plan. I think China is even trying to set up one of these markets. And so they're creating these new marketplaces to trade carbon permits. ... And that's what's really cool about these new tradable permit schemes is they create a buyer for those nets. And I think that's ultimately how we're going to solve this problem of climate change.
The big thing that none of these folks have gotten to yet, but I think if you look at the laws in Europe, they're going there, is the idea of a carbon tariff. And I think these carbon taxes, if they actually exist properly, will look like a tariff. ... I think that that's where the world is going. And that's probably, David, to your point, it's going to be a really big value unlock because the amount of money that will get both made but also destroyed in that process will be incredible.