+0.0
net board stance
what this means
99.53
+0.1% · close 2026-09-08
-7% / +40% / +14%
1m / 3m / 12m
-112%
vs SPY since 2022-02-05
68%
of 52w range · -16.4% off high
—
hit rate as primary
Where we stand — 0 live ideas
No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 46 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from
score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
Track record on W
No closed window has used this ticker as its primary play, so there is no scored record here yet. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | verdict | R | α | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 📈 Over-ordering unwinds into an inventory glut that craters mid-market retail | ▼ SHORT | adjacent | PARTIAL | +4.8% | +11.1 | 2023-02-05 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding W, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
Chamath
support ×2
▼ on
📈 Over-ordering unwinds into an inventory glut that craters mid-market retail
E82 · 2022-05-24
▶ 38:50
A collection of those Amazon DTC brands, putting them together and trying to have some economies of scale. But when your supply and your demand both get 10x'd in the wrong direction, it's game over.
Sacks
support ×2
▼ on
📈 Over-ordering unwinds into an inventory glut that craters mid-market retail
E82 · 2022-05-24
▶ 38:44
I think it was Thrasio that just announced they're laying off 25% of their employees
Friedberg
support ×1
▼ on
📈 Over-ordering unwinds into an inventory glut that craters mid-market retail
E82 · 2022-05-24
▶ 38:41
The DTC space, just anyone in physical goods
Jason
support ×2
▼ on
📈 Over-ordering unwinds into an inventory glut that craters mid-market retail
E82 · 2022-05-24
▶ 38:37
I'm incredibly worried about the whole DTC brand, the whole DTC space
RY
Ryan Petersen
support ×3
▼ on
📈 Over-ordering unwinds into an inventory glut that craters mid-market retail
E82 · 2022-05-24
▶ 34:28
going through almost a perfect storm right now in a really, really bad way, like the movie The Perfect Storm, because ocean freight rates are sky-high ... Walmart announced their costs were through the roof from supply chain and their stock fell 10 percent today, wiping off $40 billion of market cap this morning ... what we're seeing right now is these warehouses are overflowing
Chamath
support ×2
▼ on
📈 Over-ordering unwinds into an inventory glut that craters mid-market retail
E66 · 2022-02-05
▶ 12:52
And so it seems like the bigger companies who have influence were able to manage through it. These smaller companies, to your point, who really do rely on many actors in the supply chain have been really thrown left and right that they probably don't know where demand really is.
RY
Ryan Petersen
support ×3
▼ on
📈 Over-ordering unwinds into an inventory glut that craters mid-market retail
E66 · 2022-02-05
▶ 8:55
So I'm really worried that we're going to find out in six months or in some time period in the future here, that people have ordered way too many goods, that these companies expected demand to stay high and keep booming. ... At some point, consumers start going to restaurants and start traveling a lot more. You get pre-COVID consumption patterns, and all these companies get stuck with way too much inventory, that they paid way too much to ship and get delivered and they can't sell it. And so I'd be very worried for like, middle market kind of retail, direct to consumer ecom, these types of businesses that aren't very sophisticated in demand planning and end up with way too much inventory.