+0.0
net board stance
what this means
68.78
+0.1% · close 2026-09-08
+5% / +5% / +38%
1m / 3m / 12m
-17%
vs SPY since 2022-03-05
89%
of 52w range · -3.4% off high
0/1
hit rate as primary · α +8
Where we stand — 0 live ideas
No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 45 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from
score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
Track record on EEM
As a PRIMARY play the besties are 0 hit / 1 partial / 0 miss over 1 closed window — credit 0.5, average α +7.8. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | verdict | R | α | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌍 Holding the sanctions line pushes the pain onto emerging markets | ▼ SHORT | primary | PARTIAL | +5.7% | +7.8 | 2023-03-05 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding EEM, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
And if that happens, then you could see massive civil unrest. He's been encouraging the population in Brazil to go to the streets and fight back. And there are a number of these flashpoints. And by the way, that's a massive food supplier, as well as a massive holding in EM credit portfolios around the world.
And what's really important here is that as goes Sri Lanka, so goes Ghana, so goes Pakistan, so goes a whole bunch of countries where you're already starting to see food riots, food insecurity, energy insecurity, rampant inflation, sovereign defaults.
As a result, a lot of dollars are moving out of emerging market debt into US debt, and the price of that debt has collapsed. We've seen in the last couple of months a decline of emerging market debt of about 20 percent. This makes it harder for those countries to issue new debt to fund things, and it's creating this really challenging spiral that may ultimately lead to defaults.
we engage in economic sanctions and I was the first one to say, hey, this could really work and this could be a roadmap for how to do it. And it turned out this is the roadmap for how not to do it. ... These sanctions were so porous as to be like Swiss cheese.
It's going to cause a humanitarian problem. It's really friggin sad. And it's, you know, whatever progress has been made could be unwound.
what's going to be very, very difficult is the impact that this has on emerging markets in Southeast Asia, Asia, Africa could be really, really deleterious for some amount of time. ... I think that that is actually really the risk that I think holding the line on these sanctions really does. It pushes the risk towards EM countries.