+0.0
net board stance
what this means
215.07
-0.8% · close 2026-09-08
+1% / +8% / +5%
1m / 3m / 12m
-10%
vs SPY since 2021-05-13
80%
of 52w range · -5.5% off high
—
hit rate as primary
Where we stand — 0 live ideas
No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 47 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from
score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
Track record on DRI
No closed window has used this ticker as its primary play, so there is no scored record here yet. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | verdict | R | α | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌍 America's accidental UBI creates a national labor shortage and throttles growth | ▼ SHORT | adjacent | HIT | +16.7% | +17.5 | 2022-05-13 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding DRI, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
End of the great resignation. That whole concept of like fun employed and I'm going to flip NFTs and I'm not going to go to work, that's out the window. So for people who've been enjoying it, people are going to need jobs.
I'm seeing the salaries going up faster than inflation, people are raising people's salaries, you know, in double digits to try to get them to come to these jobs.
you also have the supply component, which is we don't have enough goods and services. Why? Because we've been, you know, passing out these STEMI checks that disincentivize people from working.
And then the fourth is you have all these boomers with an enormous amount of savings, 30, 40, 50 trillion dollars, who are pulling forward their retirement and also subsidizing their kids. You put it all together, there's less of an incentive to be in the job force unless you pay higher wages.
all of that is exacerbating this employment problem, which you can only solve by raising wages, right? ... all of it just means that there are just fewer people to do the work, which means you're going to have to pay more to get the work done.
So we have these labor shortages, people dropping out of the workforce in record numbers. ... And to stop these disincentives for production and work.
Just to build on that, so that second step of their overcompensating, their inability to open with money is so true, because then what happens is your labor force stays impaired because people make enough money by not working.
Montana now has a severe labor shortage, but it's not just Montana, it's every state in the union. So we have these two opposing forces, right? We have so much stimulus, we have an under motivated labor force, we have more taxation, that's also just going to be wasted. So very poor ROI. ... And then now we have input costs going up, and prices going up to try to attract people.
This is the key issue right now for a lot of businesses. I mean, you have restaurants that are overbooked cannot get servers. ... the result of this UBI experiment is negative economic growth or throttled economic growth, we cannot be productive if people don't want to work and contribute.