+4.9
net board stance
what this means
59.42
+2.6% · close 2026-11-06
-17% / -14% / +55%
1m / 3m / 12m
+30%
vs SPY since 2025-08-01
51%
of 52w range · -25.5% off high
—
hit rate as primary
Where All-In Alpha stands — 1 live idea
| idea | call | play | conviction | contributes | moved yet? | scored in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🛢️ Copper (and critical metals) goes parabolic | ▲ LONG | adjacent ×0.5 | 9.8 | +4.9 | — | 64d |
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 60 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. From the
conviction ledger; an idea counts from birth until its window closes. Dots mark episodes
where this ticker's ideas were actually mentioned; a dashed stretch is silence.
Last mention E257 · silent for 39 episodes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × that idea's direction ON THIS TICKER × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down, unless this ticker is listed as the other side of it. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
What resolves next
scoring dates for the live ideas holding this ticker — each one turns into a scored result on that date, whether it flatters anyone or not
Track record on FCX
No closed window has used this ticker as its primary play, so there is no scored record here yet. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | result | return | vs SPY | scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🛢️ Battery metals squeeze — lithium, nickel, cobalt push EV prices up 20-30% | ▲ LONG | adjacent | RIGHT | +13.9% | +6.5 | 2022-03-13 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding FCX, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
the asset that is set up to go absolutely parabolic is copper. ... manifests in everything, from our data centers to our chips to our weapon systems. ... we are on a path by 2040 where we will be short about 70% of the global supply
China has done a masterful job. They control a lot of the lithium, a lot of the nickel, a lot of the cobalt, a lot of the graphite. They control a lot of the rare earths that go into the permanent magnets. And we don't have a solution.
We don't have rare earths. We don't have lithium. We don't have nickel. We don't have cobalt. We don't have graphite. So we actually can't make the batteries, which means that now oil is at $100 a barrel and gas costs $10 at the pump.
yesterday, we're starting something really ambitious in batteries, and I have to sit there for an hour, and we have to go through ordering the equipment, setting up the lab, getting the human resource
I had a kickoff meeting for a startup that's doing something incredible in batteries ... and then I had a call because I'm trying to put a you know, more than a billion dollars to work in a different battery idea.
if you believe in electrification and you believe in, you know, zero emissions and you believe in using these batteries, you need to believe in nickel, which is a tough business, okay? ... And right now, we have a deficit of nickel that's going to emerge now in less than a year. ... And we have about a 37 to 40% shortage of what we need.
if you break down the batteries, it goes into three critical inputs, lithium, nickel and cobalt. ... And so the cost of Tesla's are going to go up by 20 or 30%