+0.0
net board stance
what this means
30.36
-2.7% · close 2026-11-06
+8% / -11% / -56%
1m / 3m / 12m
-80%
vs SPY since 2025-08-01
6%
of 52w range · -58.9% off high
1/1
hit rate as primary · vs SPY +71
Where All-In Alpha stands — 0 live ideas
No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 60 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. From the
conviction ledger; an idea counts from birth until its window closes. Dots mark episodes
where this ticker's ideas were actually mentioned; a dashed stretch is silence.
Last mention E54 · silent for 231 episodes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × that idea's direction ON THIS TICKER × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down, unless this ticker is listed as the other side of it. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
Track record on ZG
As a PRIMARY play the besties are 1 hit / 0 partial / 0 miss over 1 closed window — credit 1.0, average vs SPY +71.3. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | result | return | vs SPY | scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 📈 Zillow's iBuyer collapse is structural, not a stumble | ▼ SHORT | primary | RIGHT | +52.8% | +71.3 | 2022-11-06 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding ZG, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
it speaks to two big mistakes that Zillow made. The first is that catching a wave of disruption is very difficult when you have an old line business that is fundamentally competitive with the new line of business. ... Zestimate over time basically calcified this idea of price inflation. So the accuracy was never a goal. ... the open door margin on average is about 10%. The Zillow margin on average was 3%. So they had a much more razor thin margin of safety here, which again speaks to pricing.
they were trying to be a, quote, market maker in the business. And it turned out that what they were really doing was being more of a speculator, right? ... one could argue this was flawed from the beginning. The execution clearly was way off. ... the maturity of a Silicon Valley entrepreneur who's crushed it so many times doesn't mean that they're perfect. And this was a big miss.