+0.0
net board stance
what this means
18.11
-0.6% · close 2026-09-08
-2% / +10% / -30%
1m / 3m / 12m
+18%
vs SPY since 2022-03-26
17%
of 52w range · -43.8% off high
1/1
hit rate as primary · α +50
Where we stand — 0 live ideas
No active idea holds this ticker. Anything below is history.
Where the winds are blowing
NET BOARD STANCE, LAST 46 EPISODES —
rising = the besties are building this position, falling = abandoning it. Replayed from
score_events; an idea counts from birth until its window closes.
PRICE VS SPY OVER THE SAME WINDOW, % — did the
talk lead the tape or follow it?
Who's pushing which way
each voice's net push ON THIS TICKER — their most recent stance per idea × the idea's direction × strength, so supporting a bearish idea pushes down. Not conviction (that lives on the idea); this is direction of travel per person. what w= means
Track record on SOFI
As a PRIMARY play the besties are 1 hit / 0 partial / 0 miss over 1 closed window — credit 1.0, average α +49.7. Adjacent plays are listed but never scored.
| idea | call | play | verdict | R | α | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 📈 Rate-arbitrage fintechs implode as their cost of capital rises | ▼ SHORT | primary | HIT | +38.0% | +49.7 | 2023-03-26 |
The tape — what was actually said
every capture on any idea holding SOFI, newest first · quotes verbatim, timestamps deep-link into the episode
Chamath
support ×2
▼ on
📈 Rate-arbitrage fintechs implode as their cost of capital rises
E73 · 2022-03-26
▶ 19:55
Neobanks are another example. The number of Neobanks that have been funded at exorbitant valuations, where the problem is all of these financial services companies are essentially an arbitrage on rates. When rates are zero, they take that money at 0% and then they can go and execute a business model and sell that money at 1% and take the difference. But when their cost of capital is 2 or 2.5 or 3%, the whole business implodes on them. So you're going to see a bunch of these financial services companies get under pressure.